THEMES // SUPPLY INELASTICITY // BENEFICIARIES
Beneficiaries

There are several ways to play the commodity inelasticity story:
  • Direct investment in commodity futures is clearly a ready way to tap into the area directly.

  • Exchange-traded Notes (ETNs) are new instruments providing access to the underlying commodities for those either unable or unwilling to make direct futures investments.

  • Stocks in companies operating in the applicable markets are a means for more diverse investment in these areas, as well providing a potential additional benefit as industry consolidation lead to takeover 'pops' in price, as well as increased efficiency and economies of scale.

Beneficiaries - Oil

  • Integrated -large integrated players and pure plays in growth regions will benefit from higher oil prices:
    • PetroChina, ExxonMobil, Lukoil, Saudi Aramco, CLP
  • Refining –refiners in non-OPEC areas will benefit most from a relative lack of capacity expansion:
    • Valero, Marathon
  • Oil Services –companies offering means for increased efficiency in extraction and refining will benefit:
    • Schlumberger, Petroleum Geo-Services ASA

Beneficiaries - Water

  • Aqua America
  • Southwest Water
  • AquacellTechnologies
  • Danaher
  • COPASA
  • Ebara Corporation
  • DoosanHeavy Industries & Construction
  • Arrowhead Water Products
  • Sabesp
  • Fluor
  • Suez
  • Techem
  • Uponor
  • Veolia Envirronement
  • Guangdong Investment Limited
  • General Electric
  • RWE
  • China Water Affairs Group Limited

Beneficiaries - Gold

  • Newmont Mining
  • AgnicoEagle Mines
  • BarrickGold Corp.
  • Kinross Gold Corp.
  • YamanaGold
  • Rio Tinto
  • Anglo American
  • Monday

Beneficiaries - Foodstuffs

  • Monsanto
  • Syngenta
  • EI DuPont de Nemours & Co.
  • Mosaic Co.
  • American Vanguard Corp.
  • EDEN Bioscience Corp.

Beneficiaries - Base Metals

  • Anglo American
  • Rio Tinto
  • CompanhiaVale do Rio Doce(CVRD)
  • Broken Hill Propriety (BHP)
  • Norilsk
  • CorporaciónNacionaldel Cobre(CODELCO)
  • Freeport McMoRan
  • Aluminum Corporation of America (Alcoa)

Beneficiaries - Shippers

  • China Ocean Shipping Company (COSCO)
  • China Shipping Container Lines (CSCL)
  • Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (K Line)
  • Neptune Orient Lines
  • Frontline
  • Star Shipping
  • Diana Shipping